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Author:

Qu K. (Qu K..) | Si G. (Si G..) | Huang Y. (Huang Y..) | Li C. (Li C..)

Indexed by:

Scopus EI SCOPUS

Abstract:

Building wind power time series considering the correlation of wind farms is of great significance to medium and long-term planning, annual/monthly dispatch and safe and stable operation of power system. This paper presents a novel modeling method of simulated time series considering the fluctuation trend and correlation of multi-wind farm output. On the basis of quantitative expression of fluctuation characteristics, this paper pairs specific fluctuations. Meanwhile, the Logistic function is firstly used to fit the rising and falling segments of wind power low frequency series, which solves the problems of traditional Gauss function in fitting asymmetric fluctuation process. At the same time, the correlation between wind time series is analyzed from the new point of view that the parameters of fluctuation process are correlated, and the Copula model among various fitting parameters is established. The effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method are verified by simulation analysis. © 2019 IEEE.

Keyword:

Copula function; Fluctuation characteristics; Logistics function; multiple wind farms; time series

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] State Key Laboratory of Electrical Insulation and Power Equipment, Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Smart Grid, School of Electrical Engineering, Xian Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710049, China
  • [ 2 ] State Key Laboratory of Operation and Control of Renewable Energy and Storage Systems, China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing, 100192, China

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Source :

Proceedings of the 31st Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2019

Year: 2019

Page: 2248-2253

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 1

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 8

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