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Abstract:
Building wind power time series considering the correlation of wind farms is of great significance to medium and long-term planning, annual/monthly dispatch and safe and stable operation of power system. This paper presents a novel modeling method of simulated time series considering the fluctuation trend and correlation of multi-wind farm output. On the basis of quantitative expression of fluctuation characteristics, this paper pairs specific fluctuations. Meanwhile, the Logistic function is firstly used to fit the rising and falling segments of wind power low frequency series, which solves the problems of traditional Gauss function in fitting asymmetric fluctuation process. At the same time, the correlation between wind time series is analyzed from the new point of view that the parameters of fluctuation process are correlated, and the Copula model among various fitting parameters is established. The effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method are verified by simulation analysis. © 2019 IEEE.
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Proceedings of the 31st Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2019
Year: 2019
Page: 2248-2253
Language: English
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 0
SCOPUS Cited Count: 1
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 8
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