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Author:

Zhang, Yao (Zhang, Yao.) | Lin, Fan (Lin, Fan.) | Wang, Ke (Wang, Ke.)

Indexed by:

EI SCIE SSCI Scopus Engineering Village

Abstract:

The accuracy of wind power forecasting depends a great deal on the data quality, which is so susceptible to cybersecurity attacks. In this paper, we study the cybersecurity issue of shortterm wind power forecasting. We present one class of data attacks, called false data injection attacks, against wind power deterministic and probabilistic forecasting. We show that any malicious data can be injected to historical data without being discovered by one of the commonlyâused anomaly detection techniques. Moreover, we testify that attackers can launch such data attacks even with limited resources. To study the impact of data attacks on the forecasting accuracy, we establish the framework of simulating false data injection attacks using the Monte Carlo method. Then, the robustness of six representative wind power forecasting models is tested. Numerical results on realworld data demonstrate that the support vector machine and kânearest neighbors combined with kernel density estimator are the most robust deterministic and probabilistic forecasting ones among six representative models, respectively. Nevertheless, none of them can issue accurate forecasts under very strong false data attacks. This presents a serious challenge to the community of wind power forecasting. The challenge is to study robust wind power forecasting models dealing with false data attacks. © 2020 MDPI AG. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Anomaly detection Monte Carlo methods Security of data Support vector machines Weather forecasting Wind power

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Yao]Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Smart Grid, School of Electrical Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an; 710049, China
  • [ 2 ] [Lin, Fan]Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Smart Grid, School of Electrical Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an; 710049, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Ke]Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Smart Grid, School of Electrical Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an; 710049, China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Zhang, Yao]Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Smart Grid, School of Electrical Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an; 710049, China;;

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Source :

Energies

Year: 2020

Issue: 15

Volume: 13

3 . 0 0 4

JCR@2020

3 . 0 0 4

JCR@2020

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:59

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 10

SCOPUS Cited Count: 23

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 5

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