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Author:

Jiang, Fuxin (Jiang, Fuxin.) | Zhang, Chengyuan (Zhang, Chengyuan.) | Sun, Shaolong (Sun, Shaolong.) | Sun, Jingyun (Sun, Jingyun.)

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Abstract:

For hourly PM2.5 concentration prediction, accurately capturing the data patterns of external factors that affect PM2.5 concentration changes, and constructing a forecasting model is one of efficient means to improve forecasting accuracy. In this study, a novel hybrid forecasting model based on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) and deep temporal convolutional neural network (DeepTCN) is developed to predict PM2.5 concentration, by modeling the data patterns of historical pollutant concentrations data, meteorological data, and discrete time variables’ data. Taking PM2.5 concentration of Beijing as the sample, experimental results showed that the forecasting accuracy of the proposed CEEMDAN-DeepTCN model is verified to be the highest when compared with the statistics-based models, traditional machine learning models, the popular deep learning models and several existing hybrid models. The new model has improved the capability to model the PM2.5-related factor data patterns, and can be used as a promising tool for forecasting PM2.5 concentrations. © 2021 Elsevier B.V.

Keyword:

Acoustic noise Convolution Convolutional neural networks Deep neural networks Forecasting Meteorology Spurious signal noise

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Jiang, Fuxin]Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100190, China
  • [ 2 ] [Jiang, Fuxin]School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100190, China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang, Chengyuan]School of Economics and Management, Xidian University, Xi'an; 710126, China
  • [ 4 ] [Sun, Shaolong]School of Management, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an; 710049, China
  • [ 5 ] [Sun, Jingyun]School of Statistics, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou; 730020, China

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Source :

Applied Soft Computing

ISSN: 1568-4946

Year: 2021

Volume: 113

6 . 7 2 5

JCR@2020

ESI Discipline: COMPUTER SCIENCE;

ESI HC Threshold:33

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 3

SCOPUS Cited Count: 32

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 12

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