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Author:

Guo, Zhang (Guo, Zhang.) | Si, Gangquan (Si, Gangquan.) | Huang, Yuehui (Huang, Yuehui.) | Li, Pai (Li, Pai.)

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Abstract:

A new wind power modeling method is proposed for multiple wind farms considering fluctuation tendency and correlation characteristics for planning and operation of power system. These wind power time series are divided into several wind processes, which are defined as local fluctuation processes and are quantitatively expressed. Classifying the months with similar characteristics, the correlations of these fitting parameters are analyzed, and the Copula function is established. Combining with Copula function, the fluctuation parameters are sampled sequentially, hence the constructed similar time series have remarkable correlation characteristics. This method focuses on the local correlation characteristics with fluctuation feature and avoids concerning only the entire correlation. A simulation for some wind farms in China is performed and comparisons of correlation between two wind farms and between historical and simulated time series show that the proposed method is effective and the local correlation is well considered. © 2018, Editorial Office of Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University. All right reserved.

Keyword:

Copula functions Correlation characteristics Fluctuation characteristics Local fluctuations Operation of power system Time series modeling Wind farm Wind power modeling

Author Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Guo, Zhang;Si, Gangquan]School of Electrical Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an; 710049, China
  • [ 2 ] [Huang, Yuehui;Li, Pai]China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing; 100192, China

Reprint Author's Address:

  • [Si, Gangquan]School of Electrical Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an; 710049, China;;

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Source :

Hsi-An Chiao Tung Ta Hsueh/Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University

ISSN: 0253-987X

Year: 2018

Issue: 4

Volume: 52

Page: 7-14

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 2

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count: -1

Chinese Cited Count: -1

30 Days PV: 5

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