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Abstract:
A new wind power modeling method is proposed for multiple wind farms considering fluctuation tendency and correlation characteristics for planning and operation of power system. These wind power time series are divided into several wind processes, which are defined as local fluctuation processes and are quantitatively expressed. Classifying the months with similar characteristics, the correlations of these fitting parameters are analyzed, and the Copula function is established. Combining with Copula function, the fluctuation parameters are sampled sequentially, hence the constructed similar time series have remarkable correlation characteristics. This method focuses on the local correlation characteristics with fluctuation feature and avoids concerning only the entire correlation. A simulation for some wind farms in China is performed and comparisons of correlation between two wind farms and between historical and simulated time series show that the proposed method is effective and the local correlation is well considered. © 2018, Editorial Office of Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University. All right reserved.
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Source :
Hsi-An Chiao Tung Ta Hsueh/Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University
ISSN: 0253-987X
Year: 2018
Issue: 4
Volume: 52
Page: 7-14
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 0
SCOPUS Cited Count: 2
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count: -1
Chinese Cited Count: -1
30 Days PV: 5
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